Hello Steemit friends, yesterday I was thinking, if Bitcoin can grow its value by 100% every year, is it possible to retire with only 1 bitcoin?
Assumption: Bitcoin value will grow 100% every year
Method1: Sell 50% every year
Bitcoin now is worth $15000 each, so if you sell 50% to survive every year, meaning you can have $7500 per year which is around $625 per month, you can survive with that money if you live in some cheaper country and live extremely frugal and avoid all luxuries or unnecessary expenses
2018: Bitcoin $15000, sell 0.5 btc($7500), left 0.5 btc
2019: Bitcoin $30000, sell 0.25 btc($7500), left 0.25 btc
2020: Bitcoin $60000, sell 0.125 btc($7500), left 0.125 btc
As you can see, as long as every year Bitcoin price can grow 100%, you can spend $7500 every year forever, however if you using this method, you will get poorer every year as inflation of food price and everything else is around 5% per year
Method2: Sell 20% every year
2018: Bitcoin $15000, sell 0.2 btc($3000), left 0.8 btc
2019: Bitcoin $30000, sell 0.16 btc($4800), left 0.64 btc
2020: Bitcoin $60000, sell 0.128 btc($7680), left 0.512 btc
As you can see, if you use method 2 and only sell 20% each year, if you retired on first year, you will have to eat grass or sand for your first year because you only have $3000 to spend but each year your spendable money will grow by 60%, and by the third year, you can now spend $7680 and more to come in the future
But of course, this is all just for entertainment purpose only as we all know nothing can grow its value by 100% every year, so please don’t rush out and quit your job yet
thanks for reading
昨天突发其想，如果Bitcoin永远那样涨下去，那拥有１个的人是不是可以退休了？
前提：Bitcoin 每年会涨１倍
方案１：每年卖50%
现在一个Bitcoin$15000美金，如果每年可以卖50%来生活，也就是$7500美金，一个月大概$625美金，的确可以过一些省吃减用的生活
2018年头：Bitcoin $15000， 卖0.5个（$7500），剩下0.5个
2019年头：Bitcoin $30000， 卖0.25个（$7500），剩下0.25个
2020年头：Bitcoin $60000， 卖0.125个（$7500），剩下0.125个
只要Bitcoin每年都涨一倍，那就能无止境的每年卖$7500美金，可是因为通货膨胀却越过越穷，所以这个方案几乎不行
方案２：每年卖20%
2018年头：Bitcoin $15000， 卖0.2个（$3000），剩下0.8个
2019年头：Bitcoin $30000， 卖0.16个（$4800），剩下0.64个
2020年头：Bitcoin $60000， 卖0.128个（$7680），剩下0.512个
可以看到，方案２虽然头几年拿出来的比较少，第一年退休的话几乎需要每天吃草（一年只有$3000可花），可是却可以每年越拿越多，以60%增长，所以如果以方案２的方法来退休的话会越久越多钱花
不过其实这些算法都不是很靠谱啦，因为Bitcoin不可能每年都涨１倍那么夸张，这些算法只供娱乐，别真的退休
谢谢阅读