也许现在的Steem并不像2010年的用来买比萨的比特币那样拥有升值百万倍的潜力。
Maybe steem now don't have the potential like BTC in 2010 which used for buy pizza.
但我分析它的升值潜力比去年(2017年)年初时的BTC还大。
But according to my analysis,it's potential is much bigger than BTC in early 2017.
没有人可以预测未来,因为未来是还未发生的事。但我们可以通过分析,估算各种事情发生的概率。
Nobody can foretell the future,because future is something we called for what not happened yet.
也许Steemit在2018年就会倒闭,Steem在2018年会变得一文不值。
Maybe Steemit will collapse in 2018,and 1000K Steems can not buy a slice of pizza anymore.
但我认为这类事件发生的几率非常低。低于10%。
But I think the chances of those incidents are very low. Less than 10%.
与此同时,我认为Steem的价格在今年(2018年)上涨十倍的几率超过百分之五十。
At the same time,I think the chance that Steem will 10 times higher than now is more than 50%.
所以今天(2018年1月3日)我投资了0.75个BTC买入Steem。加上25天以前我投资的0.24091542个BTC,我总共投资了0.99091542个BTC来换取Steem。现在Steem是我除BTC以外最大的投资。
So today (2018Y1M3D) I invested 0.75 BTC to buy Steem,and with the 0.24091542 BTC that I bought 25 days ago,I Invested totally 0.99091542 BTC for Steem.Now Steem is my biggest invest after BTC.
BTC在2018年也有几率大跌,但这几率非常低,我认为低于0.1%。
BTC also have a chance to crash,I think it's less than 0.1%.
也就是我认为BTC和Steem在同时大跌的几率小于0.01%。
So it's mean the chance that BTC and Steem crash in 2018 is less than 0.01%.
如果这0.01%的几率真的发生了,我认了。
If it indeed happen,I admit it.