Season 2017-2018 Week 7 Results | 21W-11L-3P | +3354€ Profit

This is a weekly overview of my personal handicapping and livebetting results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League with some insights on my overall approach.

I did not find a suitable graph thumbnail that could be used so I drew one myself. Week 7 produced excellent results, the early season downswing has been fully recovered and I'm ahead of the expected curve again right now! In the past, this got me in a mindset that everything was easy more than ones, causing me to slack with a drop back as a result. This won't happen right now. Forcing myself to post everything here on Steemit the way it is really helps in this regard even though week 3-4-5 which all produced a loss were quite frustrating.


One of my favorite big live betting setups occurred this weekend in the match between Oostende vs AA Gent. A match between 2 underperforming teams with a 'draw no bet' line because this was set to be a close match. The market money flow was on the visitors with odds dropping from 1.96 early in the week to 1.85 near kick-off. It was a pretty even match where AA Gent took the 0-1 lead out of nothing at the end of the first half. This result stayed towards the end of the match which tends to be a perfect setup to bet double stakes on the 0-2 with the risk of a single bet by taking both the AA Gent +0 and Over 1.5 Lines Live. These situations often end up in this scenario. Home team has to score so they start pushing and seem to be the better team. The odds go up on the visitors because the home team is pushing while the spaces they get to finish the match on the counter become huge. This can be exploited live by betting both the over and the visitors at big odds while only risking to lose 1 bet since no goal returns the 'draw no bet' line and a goal automatically grants good profit overall no matter who scores. This one played out exactly as planned making for a lose a little win a lot situation.



As for as the other bets, many are taken based on what I write about in my weekly Jupiler League Roundup. The Zulte-Waregem over trend paid off with multiple live bets in the Europa League match against Nice (1-5). Waasland Beveren also covered the handicap even though it was a close one. Aside from these it was mainly a case of avoiding losses. The bigger teams are all underperforming and a matter of waiting which ones will break out and be undervalued and which ones are just plain bad and become overvalued.



Week 7 Results 35 Bets | 21W-11L-3P | Staked 6.360€ | +3.354€ Profit
Week 6 Results 16 Bets | 13W-01L-2P | Staked 3.180€ | +2.251€ Profit
Week 5 Results 27 Bets | 10W-09L-8P | Staked 6.688€ | -645€ Loss
Week 4 Results 31 Bets | 11W-15L-5P | Staked 6.813€ | -1.423€ Loss
Week 3 Results 26 Bets | 11W-12L-3P | Staked 4.582€ | -861€ Loss
Week 2 Results 21 Bets | 12W-08L-1P | Staked 3.787€ | +714€ Profit
Week 1 Results 29 Bets | 15W-13L-1P | Staked 4.903€ | +1.091€ Profit

Season 2017-2018 Results

185 Bets | 93W-69L-23P | Staked 42.673€ | +4.480€ Profit | +10.50% ROI


Let me know in the comments how your betting week was!

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