I start today a series of 8 chapters (1 a week) where I open to you my book of strategies in the market of sports trade. As you may know I have been in this market for about 6 years (who doesn't know what it is, read these two posts 1 2) is one of the activities I perform besides the photography that is my main passion. I intend with this series to help Those who are curious or who already work or worked in this market that is one of the most profitable and pleasurable in the world. For those who love football like me and like to understand the other side of a match, besides the one that is passing in front of us by the television, it is a great opportunity.
All the strategies that I will post in this series were built over 6 years working in this market and were built with my experience of having broken several stalls until I have today small but constant profits in that market. The advantage, as I mentioned in previous posts, is that in the sports trade we don't necessarily have to depend on the final result of the game for profit, but rather on the oscillation of the odds in the market, closing our position in green (profit) or red (loss).
I start this series with the strategy that is my favorite:
Over 2.5 goals
Steps
- Explanation and Application
- Criteria for Application
1. Explanation
In this strategy we expect to have more than 2.5 goals in the match, that is, 3 goals. But we do not necessarily have to wait for those 3 goals to happen, because as I said, in the sport trade we do not have to wait for the final result of the game, but for the market oscillation against or in favor of our position. So in a game with a tendency to have more than 3 goals, the odds in the market for back (in favor) 2.5 being in the price of 1.50 or less, if a goal happens in the first 10 minutes of the match, we can close our position with a profit of up to 15% under the stake.
It is important to study in depth the statistics of the game, such as percentage of goals scored and suffered by both teams involved and the history of confrontation between them. As well as, it is very important to know the percentage of over 2,5 goals in the championship where the teams are involved.
Criteria for Application
- Apply this strategy only in championships and with 10 rounds already played
- The home team must have scored 6 or more goals in the last 3 home matches as a client.
- The visitor must have scored at least 3 goals in the last 3 games as a visitor.
- At least 2 last matches of the teams involved have been OVER 2.5 (either inside or outside the home - see statistics)
- See history of meeting between the two teams and see the total of OVER and UNDER games, helps in the decision when betting.
- Home team must have scored at least 1 goal in the first half in the last 3 home games.
- Away team must have scored at least 1 goal in the first half in the last 3 matches away.
- % Over 1.5 of the alloy equal to or greater than 73% and Over 2.5 goals of the alloy is equal to or greater than 48%.
- Average goals for both teams to be greater than 1.75 (total number of goals from the last 5 matches and divide (%) by 5)
In the next chapters of this series I will bring to you other interesting strategies from this market. I hope I have helped by adding knowledge or even getting someone to know the other side of a football game. I am available to answer any questions, just reply in the comments below.
Thank Your for reading my post!
Muito Obrigado por ter lido o meu post!
