Bitcoin Trend Series / EP. 571 / Sentiment Indicator VS PayPal Policy Changes / Steem Bounty Reward

Time: 9.00 A.M. / GM+2 / 23 Apr 2018 – Mon.

Market Factors

Sentiment Indicator VS PayPal Policy Changes

  • Sentiment Indicator ( The bad ): Speaking of investor perceptions and on the issue of sentiment, the chart below shows a composite of Google trends ratings for various search terms , such as bitcoin mining, buy bitcoin, etc...As we see, there has been a sharp drop-off in interest, for perhaps obvious reasons and I do not think this will support the recent bull run.

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  • PayPal Policy Changes ( The good ): With the new direction of PayPal, the recipients of funds will be "discriminated" based on the country of residence and a flat fee is to be introduced, which can ramp up to $4.99 per transaction. The reason why I believe, these new changes will force people to look for alternatives and most likely will cause a boost for bitcoin and other cryptocurrency.

Technical

  • In our previous post / 570 / we had forecast the trading range will be between 7.84K and 9.12K. The intraday high was 9.04K and the low was 8.75K.

  • The volume is higher than what we had seen on the the last days but this is not what we usually see during a strong reversal.

  • RSI is now quite close to levels at which Bitcoin price tipped over and went down recently. So if the recent history were to repeat itself, we might see a move down from 9.12K, or some strength to 9.73K followed by a move down.

  • The last upmove above 8.64K is not strong bullish as it might seem. The implications here are either depreciation or a double local top followed by a move down. My point of view, the implications are bearish rather than bullish at the moment and a little bearish action can make the implications bearish all over again.

Sentiment

Based on the above, the trend for today is neutral with chances:

  • Of continuing the weak bullish wave towards 200-day MA at 9.73k followed by a retracement.

  • For a down move retracement from 9.12K as we wrote in our previous post.

Support 1: 7840.000 level.
Resistance1 : 9122.000 level.

Support 2: 7240.000 level.
Resistance2 : 9737.000 level.

Expected trading for today:
is between 7840.00 and 9122.00.

Expected trend for today :
Neutral.

Medium Term:
Neutral.

Long Term:
Bullish.

The low of 2018:
5947.00.

The high of 2018 (BitcoinTrader's Year):
13660.00 level / Expected.

The high of 2019 (Bitcoin Holder's Year):
25000.00 level / Expected.

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