Bitcoin Trend Series / EP. 585 / Trading Noise / Steem Bounty Reward

Time: 8.34 A.M. / GM+2 / 7th May 2018 – Mon.

  • The past days provided some bullish behavior as Bitcoin price broke through the resistance 9496.000 level / 5H EMA10, and showed signs of being overbought at 9.990K. So Bitcoin price has yet to cross the 200-Day MA though it has come within a hair’s breadth, followed by a rejection from 9.990K to 9.259K.

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Market Factors

  • Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend! This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.
  • Bitcoin is in a bear market at the moment and my belief that growth cannot resume until we have achieved a sound enough trading environment and a healthy pull back to 8K level, before a flashing buy.

Technical

  • In our previous post / 584 / we had forecast the trading range will be between 9.496K and 9.990K. The intraday high was 9.912K and the low was 9.259K.

  • Bitcoin price is overbought for the short-term and the long term picture projects continued recovery once bitcoin trades above the 200-day MA and above the strong resistence 11.785K.

  • MACD is slowly reducing its bullish slope and RSI is moving lower from the 70 level.

  • The current rejection from 9.990K will try push the price below 9K to test 8.357K followed by 8.165K, to build our Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern, as we wrote in our previous post / 573 / before any new attempt to re-win the bull trend.

  • Note; Daily close above 9.990K, will cancel our scenario to lead the price towards 10.158K followed by 11.30K at 38.2% Fibonacci line, followed by crashes at least 70% again. As any move about 10K for moment will be short lived and not healthy for the long term trend.

Sentiment

  • We will suggest Slighty Bearish Trend in the upcoming period, unless breaking 9.990K level / Daily Close / and holding above it, that most likely will lead the price for a correction, towards our targets 8.357K and 8.165K , before any attempt to rise towards 12.407K.

Support 1: 8643.000 level.
Resistance1 : 9767.00 level.

Support 2: 8165.000 level.
Resistance2 : 9990.000 level.

Expected trading for today:
is between 8800.00 and 9767.00.

Expected trend for today :
Slighty Bearish.

Medium Term:
Neutral.

Long Term:
Bullish.

The low of 2018:
5947.00.

The high of 2018 (BitcoinTrader's Year):
12407.00 - 13660.00 Area / Expected.

The high of 2019 (Bitcoin Holder's Year):
25000.00 level / Expected.

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