Belgian Jupiler League Week 17 Roundup

A weekly recap with all the latest on team news, player form, injuries, betting angles, ... Extra Time resised.jpg

Charleroi

Unlike expected, this was not a match without any chances. both teams pretty much went for but defenses were hard to break. Both goals were excellent quality. All the same angles mentioned in previous league roundups pretty much remain. I will keep an eye out for both Lukebakio and Baby to play or not since they are the main players who bring creativity.

Oostende

Oostende continue their uptrend and I have them now on my list of potential over teams. I will also be looking for situations to back them live.

Lokeren

Lokeren is still fade material when they are level and specially when they are ahead in a matc They tend to play much better when being behind in a match. They still have an excellent pitch, but have a terrible record at home and have a difficult time to score goals.

Anderlecht

Anderlecht started this match very strong and took the deserved lead.
Their away record has been very solid as of late. They are out of the cup and out of the European Leagues. During the winter break coach Vanhgaezebroeck will finally have some real time to work with the group which I expect to pay out in january.

Kortrijk

The new coach shock effect worked after Glen De Boeck became head coach. They in particular took very good starts in their matches and have had a very high scoring % on counters. A couple weeks back they pretty much defended a lead when going into the 2nd half and I made some notes to keep an eye out for a possible 1H under bet in their away matches.

Waasland

Waasland are in a bit of a downtrend. Not having taken the points they deserve so far this season. Offense seems to be less sharp possibly because of their attacking style being more difficult in cold weather and bad pitches. Defensively they have also been quite poor and mainly when falling behind they have no answer. They dropped a bit on my list and I'll mainly look to bet the over in their matches. They do not have the team to build a wall and it's not their style.

Moeskroen

Moeskroen have quite some missing players including 2 goalkeepers. They took a rather flattering point against Stvv in the last match. I think they can be opposed as long as the keep missing many players.

Stvv

Their streak where luck was on their side now turned into a streak where luck is against them. They deserved more in the match against Moeskroen.They are not a team I want to get involved with pre game and take a 'bet what you see' live approach.

Mechelen

Mechelen seems to have found ways to score with Bandé and Pedersen in front. It must be said that Genk played their worst half of the season and Mechelen scored at 100% for the 3-0 HT lead.
I'm still not fully sold and will keep an eye to oppose Mechelen. Over on a team with strikers also is an option.

Genk

Genk played a horrible 1st half and remain highly difficult to estimate.
I'm back to my wait and see which Genk shows up strategy. I not really willing to fade them pre game despite their 5W-11L record vs the asian line so far this season. Likely scenario is they will change coach unless performance gets better and much more stable.

Standard

Standard had to play without Mpoku who is big part of their scoring power.
Under match was expected and pretty much came through. First goal came in the extra time of 1st Half. Standard missed a light penalty at the end of the match. They have played better lately but I'm not fully sold yet. Not really planning to get involved with this team pre-game.

Antwerp

Antwerp switch high scoring matches with low scoring matches. This brings quite some good betting perspective as bookmaker have a hard time adjusting. the cup match against Kortrijk was very overish while the match again standard was mainly played defensively. Overs / unders are the main bets I'm looking at. The scenario where they get behind and open up is also still an option.

Eupen

Unlike previous matches from coach Makalele where Eupen mainly defended they went now much more offensive against Club Brugge. They managed to get a point after a 2-0 lead at HT and I hope this is a reason for them to play their normal offensive style again. For future reference, when in the lead against one of the bigger teams they can be opposed since they did not once come out on the counter.

Club Brugge

Club Brugge in the first place remains an over team for me. The goalkeeper problem still has not been sold so clean sheets are difficult while they will always be in it to take the win. Mainly at home they are very strong and I took some early on the -1.5 @ 1.82 against lokeren wil an option to take more live

Zulte-Waregem

Zulte-Waregem with a horrible 3/27 run which is far below what they are capable of. The combination with young group, lost of matches and a bad streak is the main reason for the bad performance. They won against Lazio at home this week and played pretty much with the A-squad. This can have given them confidence or have made them tired. Zulte-Waregem are one of the 'over teams' and tends to go high risk near the end when needed.

AA Gent

AA Gent are in a good run. In my view mainly because the needed 1st goal came somewhat out of the air. This gave them confidence but I see it still as very fragile at the moment. I expect a similar scenario in this weeks home match where they might have a really hard time to initially create chances. My main pre-game bet so far is the under 1.25 @ 1.862 1st Half. If it doesn't turn out in the expected scenario I should have the option to trade out of it.

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