Belgian Jupiler League Week 29 Preview

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Jupiler League Week 29 Asian Lines

Club Brugge vs Kortrijk

Club Brugge have had a bad streak with 4 draws and a loss in their last 5 matches. Their play has not been that bad and this seems to be just a case of regression to the mean. Kortrijk have had a great run which they saw broken last weekend with a loss against Zulte-Waregem, but are still in a play-off 1 spot. I don't expect this to be a wide open match from the start as Kortrijk stated they will 'try to get a result' (read draw will do which makes me tempted to take a tiny bit on the draw @ 5.73) in this match and win at home against charleroi in the last week. If it was not for the very overish 1H stats from Club Brugge at home I would be looking to bet the 1H under.
My plan for Live Betting:
~ Look for a collapse if Kortrijk are behind late (by 1)
~ Look for late over if one of the teams leads by 1 goal.
~Both have been overish in corners which I might take right after the first goal is scored.

AA Gent vs Oostende

This is a match where AA gent plays for 1.5 Points and Oostende plays for nothing as they are sure of a PO2 spot. There are home and away underish stats on these teams (2.0 and 1.93 on average each match)
My plan for Live Betting:
~I will be looking to take AA Gent if they get behind against play
~I will be looking to take the under if AA Gent take the lead as Oostende might lack of drive to fight back. Both team stats are quit.
~Over in corners if Oostende takes the Lead.

Antwerp vs Eupen

Antwerp have crubled under the pressure of keeping their PO1 Spot last couple of weeks and seemed a bit tired at times. They pretty much need a win in this match as they visit anderlecht next, but I'm not sure if the belief is still there. Eupen are in 2nd last spot and will have a great opportunity to take the win next week against Moeskroen. This is one of those matches that can end 0-0 or 3-3. I'll keep an eye on the team intentions going into this match and maybe take something based on that live.

Charleroi vs Stvv

Charleroi with 5 draws in a row while Stvv are also in a bad period and now have very little chance of making it into PO1. I'm sure they will try in the end if taking a win is still possible. Charleroi might take them on the counter if they leave spaces. I don't expect this match to start very open and I took early this week some on the 1H Under 1 @ 1.90 since both tend to have low scoring 1st halfs.
My plan for Live Betting:
~Bet on Charleroi -0.5 if the match stays level for a while and odds increased.
~ Maybe bet Under Corners (1H) and take a middle position if possible once the first goal is scored

Moeskroen vs Lokeren

Lokeren needs a win to be 100% sure to stay in the league so I expect their focus to be good as they are also not in a position where fear will paralise them. Moeskroen are safe, have nothing to play for and are in bad form. Current odds are not attrractive to bet Lokeren but they have shown to play better when behind while a late collapse is also possible
My plan for Live Betting:
~ Bet on Lokeren if they get behind early in the match.
~ Oppose Lokeren if they get behind late in the match.

Standard vs Mechelen

I like Standard in this match at a high handicap since they have been strong lately and a Mechelen collapse scenario is not unlikely. A loss is not an option for both teams and I expect this match to break open after the first goal. I took some pre-game on Standard -1.5 @ 2.83 despite them being without Mpoku and Sa.
My plan for Live Betting:
~ Over after the first goal is scored.
~ Late Mechelen collapse if they are ahead or behind.

Zulte-Waregem vs Anderlecht

Anderlecht changed president and they showed some signs of a reversal with Trebel back in the team and Teo finding the goal again. Defensively they really miss Kara. Both teams have nothing to lose and I expect Zulte-Waregemen to be giving their fans a nice evening playing their attractive style. I allready took some on the over 2.75 @ 1.97 and Anderlecht -0.25 @ 2.17. Both teams are overish when it comes down to corners.
My plan for Live Betting:
~ I will look for figns of many goals in this match
~ Late over if Zulte-Waregem are behind.
~ Over in corners

Waasland vs Genk

Genk are in a good form right now while Waasland finally seem to feel the loss of Seck and Morioka. I like Genk who can be as good as sure if a playoff 1 spot if they win it. I took some Genk -0.25 @ 2.02 early this week. I also think most waasland players will grant ex-coach Clement his spot in PO with his new team. Difference in drive could be a key factor in this match.
My plan for Live Betting:
~ Bet Genk if they get behind
~ Bet Over if Genk gets behind

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